Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ENS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-25 14.913636 16.925171 19.221047 22.060408 25.512647 29.620174 34.948108
2025-06-01 12.234809 14.715498 17.793123 21.974572 27.642944 35.272995 46.719828
2025-06-08 10.493001 13.078439 16.457986 21.340315 28.470180 38.962363 56.577049
2025-06-15 9.452479 12.122659 15.764288 21.302657 29.929749 43.692208 69.427231
2025-06-22 8.369146 10.947059 14.568667 20.282750 29.616230 45.450206 77.730061
2025-06-29 7.471216 9.924015 13.451170 19.182309 28.914146 46.300683 84.533975
2025-07-06 6.819876 9.187388 12.665960 18.475983 28.714074 47.955477 93.657278
2025-07-13 6.929722 9.569877 13.600346 20.676989 34.037638 61.729130 138.755649
2025-07-20 6.704046 9.416575 13.668449 21.401901 36.753921 71.026154 179.469018
2025-07-27 6.257400 8.879952 13.057601 20.823794 36.737235 74.022780 202.929663
2025-08-03 6.082715 8.758584 13.120295 21.488698 39.456070 84.761536 265.390082
2025-08-10 5.762409 8.376354 12.701798 21.176432 39.956532 89.802130 310.727344
2025-08-17 5.453896 8.006587 12.297886 20.894488 40.604865 95.970685 373.750719
2025-08-24 5.202207 7.715066 12.008930 20.812901 41.743872 104.305958 467.254914
2025-08-31 4.903764 7.323899 11.506647 20.224286 41.494203 108.035466 540.554804
2025-09-07 4.707140 7.093769 11.279238 20.189314 42.681737 117.510558 690.707076
2025-09-14 4.409386 6.671217 10.663287 19.241582 41.228800 116.462789 740.607100
2025-09-21 4.124288 6.257091 10.038381 18.217551 39.409559 113.401407 764.713791
2025-09-28 3.904903 5.948191 9.594723 17.559443 38.529047 113.996495 842.518464
2025-10-05 4.018752 6.233737 10.306442 19.608074 46.010952 156.257315 1954.492405
2025-10-12 3.965858 6.215123 10.421801 20.281467 49.555077 183.868610 3508.955766
2025-10-19 3.792001 5.965817 10.057793 19.744498 49.013291 188.501974 4382.524647
2025-10-26 3.742774 5.943937 10.152941 20.362052 52.581638 221.846032 9465.019122